PAK v SCO /4/match/190
model cricket-sim-v1 20k iters
Pakistan v Scotland
T20WC26 · Match 33 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 · Thursday 19 February 2026, 09:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
PAK 50%
50% SCO
Run total
Expected match total 315
Most likely band 285–294
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
255
265
275
285
295
305
315
325
335
345
355
365
375

Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.

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