Sydney Sixers v Melbourne Renegades
BBL · Match 42 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Saturday 23 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
309
Most likely band
279–288
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
249
259
269
279
289
299
309
319
329
339
349
359
369
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.