Brisbane Heat v Perth Scorchers
BBL · Match 41 · The Gabba (Pace) · T20 ·
Saturday 23 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
324
Most likely band
294–303
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
384
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.