Perth Scorchers v Sydney ThunderST won by 4 wickets
BBL · Match 39 · Optus Stadium (Pace) · T20 ·
Tuesday 19 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
325
Most likely band
295–304
Result
168 / 169
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
265
275
285
295
305
315
325
335
345
355
365
375
385
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.