Melbourne Renegades v Adelaide StrikersAS won by 8 wickets
BBL · Match 38 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Tuesday 19 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
319
Most likely band
289–298
Result
172 / 173
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
259
269
279
289
299
309
319
329
339
349
359
369
379
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.