Melbourne Stars v Hobart HurricanesHH won by 6 wickets
BBL · Match 37 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Tuesday 19 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
313
Most likely band
283–292
Result
154 / 155
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
253
263
273
283
293
303
313
323
333
343
353
363
373
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.