Sydney Sixers v Melbourne StarsSS won by 11 runs
BBL · Match 30 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Monday 11 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
308
Most likely band
278–287
Result
172 / 161
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
248
258
268
278
288
298
308
318
328
338
348
358
368
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.