PS v MR /2/match/85
model cricket-sim-v1 20k iters
Perth Scorchers v Melbourne RenegadesPS won by 19 runs
BBL · Match 29 · Optus Stadium (Pace) · T20 · Monday 11 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
PS 79%
21% MR
Run total
Expected match total 324
Most likely band 294–303
Result 182 / 163
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
384

Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.

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