Hobart Hurricanes v Melbourne RenegadesMR won by 3 wickets
BBL · Match 21 · Blundstone Arena (Pace) · T20 ·
Sunday 03 January 2027, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
314
Most likely band
284–293
Result
171 / 172
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
254
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.