Sydney Thunder v Adelaide StrikersAS won by 3 wickets
BBL · Match 20 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Wednesday 30 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
313
Most likely band
283–292
Result
157 / 158
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
253
263
273
283
293
303
313
323
333
343
353
363
373
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.