Sydney Sixers v Hobart HurricanesSS won by 15 runs
BBL · Match 19 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Wednesday 30 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
307
Most likely band
277–286
Result
166 / 151
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
247
257
267
277
287
297
307
317
327
337
347
357
367
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.