Perth Scorchers v Brisbane HeatPS won by 10 runs
BBL · Match 16 · Optus Stadium (Pace) · T20 ·
Saturday 26 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
324
Most likely band
294–303
Result
157 / 147
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
384
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.