Sydney Thunder v Brisbane HeatST won by 26 runs
BBL · Match 8 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Friday 18 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
311
Most likely band
281–290
Result
179 / 153
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
251
261
271
281
291
301
311
321
331
341
351
361
371
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.