Perth Scorchers v Hobart HurricanesPS won by 27 runs
BBL · Match 6 · Optus Stadium (Pace) · T20 ·
Friday 18 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
322
Most likely band
292–301
Result
159 / 132
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
262
272
282
292
302
312
322
332
342
352
362
372
382
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.