Melbourne Renegades v Perth ScorchersPS won by 5 wickets
BBL · Match 4 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Monday 14 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
324
Most likely band
294–303
Result
183 / 184
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
384
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.