Melbourne Stars v Sydney SixersSS won by 8 wickets
BBL · Match 3 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Monday 14 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
314
Most likely band
284–293
Result
185 / 186
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
254
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.