Brisbane Heat v Adelaide StrikersAS won by 7 wickets
BBL · Match 1 · The Gabba (Pace) · T20 ·
Monday 14 December 2026, 08:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
319
Most likely band
289–298
Result
170 / 171
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
259
269
279
289
299
309
319
329
339
349
359
369
379
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.