Sydney Thunder v Melbourne Renegades
BBL · Match 55 · Sydney Cricket Ground (Spin) · T20 ·
Thursday 04 February 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
311
Most likely band
281–290
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
251
261
271
281
291
301
311
321
331
341
351
361
371
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.