Perth Scorchers v Adelaide Strikers
BBL · Match 51 · Optus Stadium (Pace) · T20 ·
Sunday 31 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
327
Most likely band
297–306
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
267
277
287
297
307
317
327
337
347
357
367
377
387
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.