Melbourne Renegades v Hobart Hurricanes
BBL · Match 50 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Sunday 31 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
314
Most likely band
284–293
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
254
264
274
284
294
304
314
324
334
344
354
364
374
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.