Adelaide Strikers v Sydney Thunder
BBL · Match 48 · Adelaide Oval (Pace) · T20 ·
Wednesday 27 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
320
Most likely band
290–299
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
260
270
280
290
300
310
320
330
340
350
360
370
380
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.