Melbourne Stars v Perth Scorchers
BBL · Match 46 · Melbourne Cricket Ground (Pace) · T20 ·
Wednesday 27 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
323
Most likely band
293–302
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
263
273
283
293
303
313
323
333
343
353
363
373
383
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.