Adelaide Strikers v Hobart Hurricanes
BBL · Match 44 · Adelaide Oval (Pace) · T20 ·
Saturday 23 January 2027, 16:00
Win probabilitylogistic model
Run total
Expected match total
317
Most likely band
287–296
Run-total distributionnegative-binomial · 10-run bands
257
267
277
287
297
307
317
327
337
347
357
367
377
Probability mass over the combined match total (both innings). Each bar is a 10-run band.